Lightning Novices Chase - Doncaster 30/1/2020

Lightning Novices Chase - 30/1/2020


Grade – 2

Course – Doncaster

Race Type – Chase

Distance – 2 Miles (16F)

Ages – 5yo’s +

Weights – 10st 11lbs (5yo) 11st 0lbs (6yo+) (7lbs allowance for filles & mares)

Penalties – 4lbs for winners of a class 3 chase, 7lbs for winners of a class 1 or 2 chase

Sponsor – Napoleons Casino



Trends


Age – 10 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7

Price – 5 of the last 10 favourites/joint favourites have won, 9/10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting

Last Run – 7 of the last 10 winners won on their last run before the Lightning Novices Chase , 9/10 winners ran within the last 56 days

3/12 winners ran in the Wayward Lad Novices Chase (Kempton) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed

Previous Course Form – 4/10 winners had at least 1 previous run at Doncaster, 1/10 winners had at least 1 previous win at Doncaster

Previous Distance Form – 9/10 winners had at least 7 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/10 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs

Previous Chase Form – 9/10 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 9/10 winners had at least 1 previous chase win

Rating – 8/10 winners were rated 136 or higher

Graded Wins – 3/10 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race

Season Form – 9/10 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/10 winners had at least 1 win that season



Future Form



Next Run –

1 of the last 10 winners won on their next run after the Lightning Novices Chase, 0/10 placed on their next run

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –

6/10 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 0 placed