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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:57:05 GMT
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Grade – 1
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 1/2 Furlong (16.5F)
Ages – 4yo +
Weights – 10st 13lb (4yo), 11st 7lb (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares
Sponsor – Skybet
Trends
Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Supreme Novices Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 66 days
4/12 winners ran in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 4 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Tolworth Hurdle (Sandown) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham , 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 144 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season
Trends
Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Supreme Novices Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Champion Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 5 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
5 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
5 of the last 12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, and it won!
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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:57:37 GMT
Arkle Chase
Grade – 1
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Steeplechase
Distance – 2 Miles (16 furlongs)
Ages – 5yo +
Weights – 11st 4lb (7lb allowance for mares)
Sponsor – Sporting Life
Trends
Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 12/12 won on their last run before the Arkle Chase, 9 of the last 12 winners ran within the last 51 days
3/12 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
2/12 winners ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
Previous Course Form – 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 6/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 3 wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 chase win, 9/12 had at least 2 chase wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 151 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 or grade 2 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 9/12 had at least 2 wins that season
Trends
Next Run –
8 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 2/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Maghull Novices Chase (Aintree) next time out, 3 of the 4 won, 1 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) next time out, 3 of the 4 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
6/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 3 of the 6 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:58:07 GMT
Festival Trophy Handicap Chase
Grade – 3
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Handicap Chase
Distance – 3 Miles 1/2 Furlong (24.5 Furlongs)
Ages – 5yo +
Weights – Handicap
Sponsor – Ultima Business Solutions
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7-9
Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites , 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Weights – 8 of the last 12 winners carried between 10st 6lbs & 11st 8lbs
Last Run – 3/12 winners won on their last run before the Festival Trophy Handicap Chase, 10/12 winners had their previous run within the last 45 days
Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 8/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs at Cheltenham, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 3 miles ot further, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a race of 3 miles or further
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 132 or higher
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Trends
Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 2/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Mildmay Novices Chase (Aintree) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
7 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
4/12 winners ran in the Trophy Handicap Chase again at the next Cheltenham festival, 1 of the 4 won, 0 placed
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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:58:36 GMT
Champion Hurdle
Grade – 1
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 1/2 Furlong (16.5 Furlongs)
Ages – 4yo +
Weights – 11st 2lb (4yo), 11st 10lb (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares
Sponsor – Unibet
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 11/12 winners won or placed on their last run before the Champion Hurdle, 10/12 won on their last run, 9/12 ran within the last 51 days
5/12 winners ran in the Irish Champion Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 5 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Christmas Hurdle (Kempton) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 7/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 6 runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 5 wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 had at least 4 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 161 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous grade 1 win
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 10/12 had at least 2 wins that season
Trends
Next Run –
10 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Champion Hurdle, 10/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 6 of the 6 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Aintree Hurdle (Aintree) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) on their next run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
8/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle again at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 8 won, 3 placed
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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:59:06 GMT
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle (David Nicholson Mares Hurdle)
Grade – 1 (Grade 2 until 2015)
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20 Furlongs)
Ages – 4yo +
Weights – 10st 10lb (4yo), 11st 5lb (5yo +)
Sponsor – Close Brothers
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5-7
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10/12 winners won on their last run before the Mares Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 52 days
Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a Grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Trends
Next Run –
8 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Mares Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Champion Stayers Hurdle (Punchestown) (Previously World Series Hurdle), 3 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Mares Champion Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
7/12 winners ran in the Mares Hurdle again at the next Cheltenham Festival, 3 of the 7 won, 2 placed
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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:59:31 GMT
Fred Winter Juvenile Novices Hurdle
Grade – 3 (Since 2009)
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Handicap Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 1/2 Furlong (16.5 Furlongs)
Ages – 4yo’s Only
Weights – Handicap
Sponsor – Boodles
Trends
Age – Race is for 4yo’s only
Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Weight – 9/12 winners weighed between 10st-6lb and 11st-5lb
Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 32 days
3/12 winners ran in the Rated Novice Hurdle (Naas) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 8/12 winners were rated between 125 and 134
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Trends
Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 1/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the 4-y-o Juvenile Hurdle (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 6 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Champion 4YO Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
4/11 winners ran in the County Handicap Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 0 placed
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Post by Bitchy on Feb 7, 2023 18:59:58 GMT
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Grade – 2
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Novice Chase
Distance – 3 Miles 6 Furlongs (30 Furlongs)
Ages – 5yo +
Weights – 11st 4lbs (5yo), 11st 6lbs (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares
Sponsor – Ukraine Appeal
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favorites/joint favorites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the National Hunt Chase, 7/12 winners had their last run within the last 52 days
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, only 3 had a previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 3 miles or further, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 3 miles or further
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 142 or higher
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 4 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Trends
Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the National Hunt Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
Rest of The Season Runs –
5 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
0/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
2/12 winners ran in the Kim Muir at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 1 placed
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